Mythbusters: 4 double-chance football tips for Saturday's action
Back Manchester United and three other favourites not to win with these football betting tips. If you fancy them all, back the 15/1 four-fold.
Manchester United not to beat Bournemouth (12:30)
Manchester United could hardly have been handed a trickier fixture as they aim to improve a sequence of just two wins from five Premier League away games.
Bournemouth are the current intruders on the established Big Six in the Premier League table, sitting three points clear of United. They hammered Fulham 3-0 last weekend and are yet to lose at the Vitality Stadium in eight matches this season.
Their lively attacking trio of David Brooks, Ryan Fraser and Callum Wilson can cause big problems for United, who have conceded five goals in their last two away matches and rank a mediocre 10th for xG against on the road (Understat).
Derby not to beat Birmingham (15:00)
Derby were unfortunate not to take Chelsea to penalties in the EFL Cup on Wednesday, but are worth backing against when they take on Birmingham on Saturday.
The Rams did not react well to a similarly-valiant performance at Old Trafford in the last round, going down 1-0 at Bolton that following Saturday and suffering a three-match winless run.
Any lethargy in this one will be punished by Birmingham, who are currently unbeaten in 11 matches. Garry Monk’s side have only lost twice all season – both by one-goal margins – and have won all of their last four.
Only six sides have had more shots on target per Championship away game than the Blues this term, while only Swansea and Middlesbrough have conceded fewer goals on the road. They could even be a good bet to win this match at .
Lincoln not to beat Forest Green (15:00)
It has been a concerning couple of weeks for League Two leaders Lincoln, who have taken just two points from their last three matches.
Danny Cowley’s side, who had previously kept four clean sheets in 12 league matches, are now without one in four.
The Imps created almost nothing going forward in a 1-0 defeat at Colchester last week, with other teams perhaps wising up to their considerable threat from set-pieces.
Forest Green’s trajectory is very different. Mark Cooper’s side have lost just one of their eight league away games this season, taking four points from matches at MK Dons and Exeter, who sit in the two positions directly below Lincoln.
Valencia not to beat Girona (17:30)
A remarkable succession of stalemates has seen Valencia fail to win at all at the Mestalla so far this season.
Though five consecutive draws may hint at some misfortune, the underlying data does not look promising. According to Understat, Marcelino’s side rank fifth-bottom for xG at home in la Liga, borne out by the fact that they are yet to score more than once in a match.
Girona are unbeaten away from home season, a run that includes a 2-2 draw at Barcelona in September. They have drawn all of their last four on the road, so backing the same again could prove worthwhile at .
*Odds subject to change.
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