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SATURDAY

1. Manchester City to beat Crystal Palace and over 3.5 goals (15:00)

Manchester City have a 100 per cent home record in the Premier League this season and it’s hard to see them slipping up here.

Just three of City’s nine victories at the City of Manchester Stadium have had fewer than four goals, while the aggregate score from their last four home games against Crystal Palace is 19-1.

The visitors have lost six and drawn one of their last seven away games in all competitions so, at evens, this represents brilliant value.

Will Rook | Saturday Premier League four-fold

2. Wigan v Birmingham both teams to score (15:00)

Wigan have scored in eight of their 11 home games, and should further improve that record against Birmingham on Saturday.

An early red card denied the Latics much chance in their last home match against Derby, but they registered an xG of 3.0 and 2.1 in their two previous home games (experimental361), against Blackburn and Reading.

Birmingham have netted twice in each of their last three away games, so should have no problem scoring here. BTTS has landed in five of their last seven on the road, and in 10 of their last 14 overall.

Adam Drury | Fill Your Boots: Saturday BTTS tips

3. Preston to beat Sheffield Wednesday (15:00)

After surrendering the lead to lose 2-1 at Swansea last week, Sheffield Wednesday have managed just one win from their last 10 matches, leaving manager Jos Luhukay on the verge of the sack.

The Owls face an average of 15.5 shots every game and have conceded 40 league goals – the most in the Championship.

Preston have won four of their last six league games and failed to score just once in their last 15 matches, so it is hard to see their out-of-form hosts holding out.

WR | Don’t Speculate: Saturday EFL five-fold

4. Tom Barkhuizen (Preston) to score v Sheffield Wednesday (15:00)

Like Maupay, this pick is based as much on the opposition as the player himself.

Sheffield Wednesday are a disaster at the moment, conceding eight goals in their last three games, and at least twice in five of their last six home matches. No team has conceded more shots at home, suggesting that their woes should continue.

That should appeal to Barkhuizen, who has emerged as Preston’s chief attacker in the absence of the injured Callum Robinson.

The forward ranks second to Robinson for shots and shots inside the penalty area of Preston players this season, with last week’s goal against Millwall his sixth of the season.

AD | Saturday anytime goalscorer tips

5. Bradford City to beat Scunthorpe (15:00)

Bradford underlined their new-found attacking freedom by thumping Walsall 4-0 at home last Saturday.

The Bantams have bagged 11 goals in their last three matches in all competitions, having failed to score more than two in any other game this season.

The mood at Valley Parade has dramatically shifted since chairman Edin Rahic’s departure earlier this month and their only defeat in nine, excluding EFL Trophy games, came at high-flying Luton in November.

Scunthorpe have lost five straight games in all competitions, scoring just once in that sequence, and will be leapfrogged by their opponents with another defeat this weekend.

WR | Don’t Speculate: Saturday EFL five-fold

6. Ivan Toney (Peterborough) to score v Walsall (15:00)

Having scored nine goals in his last nine matches, Toney looks a fantastic bet to hit the net against Walsall on Saturday.

The summer signing from Newcastle has only failed to score in one of his last five home games, and fronts a side that has posted an xG of 1.6 and 1.7 in its last two home games (experimental361), suggesting that creating more chances will not be a problem.

Walsall conceded four at Bradford last time out, shipping at least two goals in four of their last five away games. They rank inside the bottom three in terms of shots and shots on target conceded away from home in League One this season.

AD | Saturday anytime goalscorer tips

7. Oldham v Exeter both teams to score (15:00)

Oldham raced into a three-goal lead before half-time against Bury on Saturday and ended up winning the game 4-2, so they will surely score against Exeter this weekend.

The Latics have kept just one clean sheet in 14 home games this season, though, with BTTS landing in all of their last four at Boundary Park.

Exeter ended a run of three consecutive defeats with a victory over Crewe on Saturday, so they should approach this game with some confidence. They have still scored in 15 of their last 20 matches in all competitions, so are a good bet for at least one goal.

AD | Fill Your Boots: Saturday BTTS tips

8. Bayern not to beat Frankfurt (17:30)

Bayern have won five of their last six matches, but a trip to Eintracht Frankfurt is about as difficult as they come in the Bundesliga at the moment.

Niko Kovac’s side have already dropped points at two members of the top eight this season, Hertha BSC and Borussia Dortmund, while they drew 3-3 at Ajax in the Champions League last week.

Frankfurt have won seven of their last eight home matches, including against Lazio, Marseille and Bayer Leverkusen across all competitions. They also rank inside the top five for xG and xG against at home in the Bundesliga.

AD | Mythbusters: Saturday double-chance tips

9. Cardiff to score first v Man Utd (17:30)

Cardiff will be up for this, with the return of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer – who got them relegated from the Premier League four years ago – adding extra spice to the match.

The Bluebirds are in great form at home, where they have won their last three matches in succession, while United have conceded first in seven of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Tom Bowles | Cardiff v Man Utd #BetYourWay

10. Lille to beat Toulouse (20:00)

Lille’s rise to second remains the Ligue 1 story of the season, and there is no reason not to back them to extend their good run on Saturday.

Christophe Galtier’s side may have drawn their last three home matches, but they still won their previous six and have won two of their last three games overall.

They rank third for xPts at home and should see off Toulouse, who have lost six of their last nine games.

AD | Saturday night five-fold

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