Just The Tips: Our 10 best football tips for this weekend
We've compiled our writers’ best football tips, including win/draw/win, BTTS and anytime goalscorers, into one bite-sized weekend betting preview.
All Betway customers can earn £10 in free bets every week by opting in to Free Bet Club. All you have to do is stake £25 or more on multiples. Read our writers’ football tips below to help you make your choice.
1. Manchester City (-1) to beat Everton (12:30)
Despite falling to their first league defeat of the season at Chelsea last Saturday, Manchester City’s excellent home record suggests they should make amends this weekend.
City have won eight out of eight in the league at the City of Manchester Stadium, with seven of those victories coming by a margin of two or more goals.
Everton have won just one of their seven away games this season and have already been beaten by Arsenal, Manchester United and Liverpool.
2. Shrewsbury v Peterborough BTTS (15:00)
Shrewsbury have only failed to score against third-place Sunderland in their last 13 home matches in all competitions, a run that should continue against Peterborough.
The Shrews lost 2-1 at Burton in Sam Ricketts’ first game in charge last weekend, but were posting good numbers at New Meadow under previous management, too. They rank second for shots and third for shots on target per League One home game this season.
Peterborough have managed two league away clean sheets all season, while they conceded four at Bradford in the FA Cup on Tuesday.
They have scored eight goals in their last three non-EFL Trophy matches, though, so are a good bet to make their mark at the other end.
3. Luton to beat Coventry (15:00)
Luton moved to second in League One following their 2-0 victory over Fleetwood last weekend, their seventh victory in eight unbeaten league games.
The Hatters are among the most dominant sides in the division in terms of xG, as per Experimental361, and that is reflected in them scoring the most in League One (41) and conceding the fifth-fewest (21).
Coventry haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 10 matches in all competitions and have lost five games in a seven-match winless run.
4. Oli McBurnie (Swansea) to score v Sheffield Wednesday (15:00)
Given Sheffield Wednesday’s horrendous defensive record, backing any Swansea attacker to score here is a decent bet.
The Owls have conceded at least three goals in three of their last four away games to put manager Jos Luhukay on the verge of the sack, and that record is unlikely to improve. They have conceded more shots on target on the road than any other Championship side.
As Swansea’s top goalscorer and established penalty-taker, McBurnie, who has scored three goals in his last three home matches, is the natural best bet to take advantage.
5. Exeter not to beat Crewe (15:00)
By contrast, goals are unlikely in this game.
Bar the EFL Trophy, Exeter have drawn four and lost five of their last nine matches. One of those was a 0-0, while they have failed to score in either of the last two.
The Grecians’ downward trajectory could continue against Crewe. The visitors don’t score many themselves, but should have taken more than four points from their last four away games, having posted an xG of 1.3 or higher (experimental361) in all of them.
6. Valencia to beat Eibar (19:45)
Valencia are quickly improving after a slow start to the season, so look a big price to get three points at Eibar.
The visitors’ victory over Manchester United on Wednesday was their sixth in 10 matches in all competitions, including back-to-back away victories before defeats at Juventus and Real Madrid.
Marcelino’s side rank fourth-best for xG and third-best for xG against on the road this season, so should continue to trend upwards.
Consecutive 2-2 and 4-4 draws at home to Sporting Gijon and Levante suggest that Eibar are not in good enough defensive form to keep them out.
7. Brighton to win or draw against Chelsea (13:00)
Brighton had the best home record outside the top six last season, and have only lost to Spurs at the Amex so far this.
In total, they've lost just five of 26 home matches in the Premier League since being promoted, and are great value to take at least a point off Chelsea.
The Blues have lost each of their last two on the road and are yet to beat a side higher than 15th in the table away from home this season.
8. Khouma Babacar (Sassuolo) to score v Frosinone (14:00)
Babacar has only scored four goals this season, but two of them have come in the last three matches and his numbers suggest that more should soon follow.
The striker ranks fourth for xG per 90 minutes of Serie A players to have made more than 10 appearances this season and faces a defence that concedes a lot of chances.
Frosinone are second bottom for xG against in Serie A away games, and have conceded three or more goals in five of their eight away games this season.
9. Eintracht Frankfurt to beat Bayer Leverkusen (17:00)
Frankfurt got back to winning ways after back-to-back defeats as they beat Lazio 2-1 away from home in the Europa League on Thursday.
Prior to that run, they had won 10 of their last 11 matches in all competitions and look great value to earn another three points against visitors who have had a tough season so far.
Leverkusen have beaten only struggling Stuttgart and Augsburg in their last five league games and have lost four out of four against the top five.
10. Roma v Genoa BTTS (19:30)
Genoa are the most reliable BTTS side in Serie A, with goals at both ends in 12 of their 15 league matches to date.
Cesare Prandelli’s side are without a clean sheet in 10 Serie A matches, and they scored in nine of those.
They now face a Roma side that have drawn their last two league games 2-2 and failed to keep a clean sheet in seven.
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