Alfredo Morelos (Rangers) to score v Livingston (16:00)

Two Scottish Premiership matches without a goal is a relative drought for Morelos, but you should back him put things right here.

The Colombian has scored in nine of his last 13 league matches, including in four of six away from home. He is available at a longer price than Jermain Defoe – who, despite scoring on his debut on Wednesday, has no such pedigree in this league – to score again here.

Livingston are three games without a clean sheet, including a 2-1 defeat to Aberdeen in their last home match, which should help Morelos’ cause.

William Jose (Real Sociedad) to score v Huesca (17:30)

Huesca have conceded the most away goals in La Liga this season, and the fact that they rank bottom for xG against on the road suggests they will continue to concede freely.

That gives Real Sociedad forward Willian Jose every chance of extending his excellent form. The striker has scored in all of his last three league matches, with his side netting at least twice on each occasion.

He has posted a respectable 0.42 xG per game this term, so justifies his odds-on price.

Willian (Chelsea) to score v Sheffield Wednesday (18:00)

Willian may not be enjoying his best goalscoring season, but this looks a massive price for a forward who looks sure to start after being left out of Chelsea’s team against Tottenham on Thursday.

The Brazilian does tend to score against weaker opposition. His five goals this season have come against Cardiff, PAOK, Burnley, MOL Vidi and Newcastle, while he has scored an FA Cup goal at Stamford Bridge in four consecutive campaigns, three of which came against Championship opposition.

Sheffield Wednesday have conceded at least three goals in four of their last nine away games, and that tally could increase against superior opposition.

Karim Benzema (Real Madrid) to score v Espanyol (19:45)

Benzema was back in the goals against Girona in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, and looks a big price to add to his 13 goals for the season at Espanyol on Sunday.

The Frenchman ranks eighth for shots, fifth for shots inside the penalty area, and eighth for xG in la Liga, suggesting that his goal output should soon increase.

Espanyol have conceded three goals at home on three separate occasions this season, including a 0-4 defeat to Barcelona in December. They also rank 19th for xG against since the beginning of November, suggesting that their defence is getting worse.


*Odds subject to change.

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