Wissam Ben Yedder (Sevilla) to score v Girona (11:00)

Having scored twice in Sevilla’s 3-0 victory over Krasnodar on Thursday before being subbed off to rest for this match, Ben Yedder is an easy bet to net again.

The Frenchman has scored 11 goals in his last 15 appearances overall. He ranks ninth for xG in La Liga, and above his strike partner Andre Silva in xG per 90 minutes, suggesting that this goalscoring rate is sustainable.

As a key goalscorer in a side that has scored 25 goals in its last nine home matches, he can add to his tally against Girona, who have conceded an xG of over 1.8 in their last three away games.

Khouma Babacar (Sassuolo) to score v Frosinone (14:00)

Babacar has only scored four goals this season, but two of them have come in the last three matches and his numbers suggest that more should soon follow.

The striker ranks fourth for xG per 90 minutes of Serie A players to have made more than 10 appearances this season, and comes up against a defence that leaks a lot of chances.

Frosinone rank second-bottom for xG against in Serie A away games, and have conceded three or more goals in five of their eight away games this season.

Fabio Quagliarella (Sampdoria) to score v Parma (14:00)

A price the right side of evens for Quagliarella to score in his sixth consecutive game is very attractive.

The 35-year-old ranks seventh for xG and 12th for shots per game in Serie A this season, suggesting that this run can continue, and comes up against a generous defence on Sunday.

Parma rank seventh-bottom for xG against away from home in the division, bottom for shots conceded per away game, and have conceded at least two goals in three of their last five away games.

Luka Jovic (Eintracht Frankfurt) to score v Bayer Leverkusen (17:00)

Choosing between Frankfurt strikers Sebastian Haller and Jovic, both of whom are in the top five goalscorers in the Bundesliga this season, is difficult, but the former is the more attractive option here.

The Serbian was rested for all but the last 10 minutes of his side’s victory away at Lazio on Thursday evening, so is fresh for this one.

He has scored four goals in his last three home matches, netting five in one match at home to Dusseldorf in October, and has only failed to score in three of his nine games at the Waldstadion this season.

Leverkusen have conceded six goals in their last three league away games, so are vulnerable to one of the best strikers in Germany.


*Odds subject to change.

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