Patrick Cutrone (Milan) to score v Parma (11:30)

In the absence of Gonzalo Higuian, Cutrone is Milan’s chief goal threat for the visit of Parma.

The 20-year-old ended a mini goal drought with the opener in Thursday’s victory over F91 Dudelange, taking his tally to six in eight matches at the San Siro.

Parma rank fifth-bottom for xG against away from home in Serie A this season, so it’s unsurprising that they have conceded eight goals in their last four away games.

Alfredo Morales (Rangers) to score v Hearts (12:00)

Morales has scored 10 goals in his last 13 matches for club and country, a record that improves further when only taking into account league matches.

The Colombian has netted in six consecutive Scottish Premiership matches, including in the reverse fixture against Hearts in October, so he looks a big price to make his mark at Hearts.

The hosts’ only clean sheet in their last six matches came against Hibernian, a run that includes conceding three to Celtic in the League Cup.

Andrea Belotti (Torino) to score v Genoa (14:00)

Belotti’s return of four Serie A goals this season is modest, but his xG figures suggest that an improvement is imminent.

The Italian ranks sixth for xG of all Serie A players, as well as sitting 10th for both shots and shots inside the penalty area.

A home game against Genoa, who have shipped 18 goals in six league away games this season, is the perfect opportunity to start his inevitable upturn.

Moussa Marega (Porto) to score v Boavista (20:00)

Marega was successfully tipped to score against Schalke in the Champions League on Wednesday, and he is a good price to take that form into the Primeira Liga on Sunday.

The Mali international has scored in five of his last six matches in all competitions, including in both of his last two away appearances, and ranks second in the division for both shots and shots inside the penalty area.

Boavista conceded twice to Benfica and three times to Sporting this season, so something similar is likely when they take on superior opposition this weekend.


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