Don't Speculate: 5 EFL football tips for Saturday's games
Back our 23/1 football tips from the opening weekend of action in the Championship, League One and League Two.
Brentford to beat Birmingham
Brentford lost just five of their 23 league games at Griffin Park last season and finished with 10 victories from their last 12 in all competitions.
The Bees registered a top-six xG (experimental361) and would have made the play-offs if not for a managerial change-induced run of just one victory in 14 matches between September and December.
They should beat a Birmingham side that lost manager Garry Monk in summer along with key players Jota and Che Adams.
Rotherham to beat Wimbledon
Wimbledon saved themselves from relegation on the final day last season with a 0-0 draw at bottom club Bradford, staying up on goal difference only.
The Dons had the worst home record of any League One side last term, picking up just 23 points at Kingsmeadow, and have done little in the transfer market to suggest they will improve this time around.
Rotherham have added 18-goal Freddie Ladapo to a squad similar to their promotion-winning side of 2017/18 and, at this price, are well worth backing.
Portsmouth to beat Shrewsbury
Portsmouth had the best travelling record in League One last season, having taken 45 points from their 23 away games.
They have recruited well in summer, adding striker John Marquis, who netted 22 times last term and finished equal-second in the top Golden Boot standings, and highly-rated winger Marcus Harness to a squad that came within three points of automatic promotion.
Shrewsbury finished just two points above last season’s relegation zone, while they won just two of their final 13 home games in all competitions.
Wycombe to beat Bolton
Bolton’s troubles have been well documented and they will start their campaign on -12 points.
Wanderers currently have just seven contracted senior players – a total that includes two goalkeepers and no defenders – and were forced to cancel two pre-season friendlies following disputes over unpaid wages.
Wycombe have done impressive business bringing in forward Fred Onyedinma and David Wheeler from Millwall and QPR respectively, and this should be the easiest three points of their season.
Bradford City to beat Cambridge
Bradford City manager Gary Bowyer has done well over summer to lift the negativity surrounding the club after their relegation from League One, bringing in 10 new signings.
Most notably, the Bantams have added strikers Clayton Donaldson and James Vaughan to an attack that already included Eoin Doyle and is surely too good for the fourth tier.
Cambridge had the fifth-worst travelling record in League Two last season, winning just five out of 23, and conceded 40 goals on the road – the second-most in the division.
*Odds subject to change.
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