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Here are five picks Will Rook thinks you should consider for Luton v Middlesbrough, which kicks off at 19:45 on Friday.

Match to be a draw

Luton were one of two sides to go unbeaten at home in League One last term and coasted to promotion with 94 points.

But they won just one of their eight games against sides that finished between second and fifth.

Middlesbrough won five of their final six matches of 2018/19 and should match their hosts.

A goal to be scored between 76 and 90 minutes

The highest proportion of goals in Luton and Middlesbrough’s respective matches last season came in the last 15 minutes.

There were 29 in the final quarter of an hour of Luton’s games, while Boro saw 20 goals in the same period.

Over 1.5 Luton cards

Luton had the fifth-best disciplinary record in League One last season, but struggled to keep their heads against better sides.

The Hatters picked up 20 cards in their eight matches against sides that finished between second and fifth – over a quarter of their total bookings.

Luton to be shown a red card

Luton had players sent off as they failed to beat promotion rivals Charlton in April and Sunderland in January.

With the home side unlikely to have things all their own way in their first game back in the Championship in 12 years, frustration could become a factor.

Britt Assombalonga to score

Assombalonga was Middlesbrough’s top scorer last season with 16 league goals and finished with four in his final five matches.

He will surely lead the line for Jonathan Woodgate’s side on Friday and is also on penalty duty.

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