Hoffenheim, Derby, Luton and Lyon all to win: £10 at 7/2*

I’ve made some nice profit in the last couple of weeks from backing big favourites, so I’m going for more of the same.

Hoffenheim have won their last two home games 3-0 and 6-0. They should see off second-bottom Hamburg, who have drawn three and lost 12 of their last 15 away games, in the Bundesliga.

Burton could be relegated by losing their 14th home match in 18 against Derby, while Luton should extend their excellent home form by beating Crewe.

Lyon’s league form has improved since their Europa League exit, and they can win their fourth consecutive match against bottom-half Amiens.



Tottenham to beat Manchester City: £10 at

Spurs are in great nick and boast a formidable record at Wembley. I reckon they’ll inflict a fourth successive defeat on the jaded Manchester City, who don’t even have the incentive of winning the league title to lift them after their midweek Champions League exit.



Millwall to win or draw and Derby, Fulham and Wigan all to win: £10 at 15/2*

Millwall extended their unbeaten run to 16 matches with victory at Bolton in midweek and moved into the play-offs for the first time this season in the process. I’m backing them to keep that run going at Sheffield United.

Also in the Championship, Derby should beat Burton, who have the worst home record in the division, while Fulham - who have won four on the spin and gone 20 games without defeat - are likely to overcome Brentford.

Wigan are always a good bet in League One, and this week should be no different given that opponents Rotherham have lost three of their last four on the road.



Bayern, Atletico, Fiorentina and Sassuolo to win: £10 at 3/1*

Bayern have the Bundesliga title in the bag, but I fancy them to keep racking up the points against a Borussia Monchengladbach side that have lost six of their last eight away from home, scoring just two goals in the process.

Atletico have won nine home games in a row without conceding a goal, and are the banker of the week against 17th-placed Levante.

Fiorentina have won six successive games by an aggregate score of 10-1. They should keep that run going by beating SPAL, who are hovering just above the relegation zone.

Benevento are always worth backing against on the road having lost every one of their away games this season. I’m expecting them to lose to Sassuolo, who took a point off Napoli in their last home match.



Under 2.5 goals in Huddersfield v Watford, Swansea v Everton, Reading v Sunderland, Charlton v Scunthorpe and Grimsby v Barnet: £10 at 13/1*

Much mirth has been had in the office recently regarding my plummeting balance.

But I was a whisker away from a big win last week, and remain confident of reeling in at least one big fish between now and the end of the season to wipe the smiles off their faces.

Rather than chasing the goals, this week I am actively looking to avoid them with five games that don’t promise much in the way of excitement.

Huddersfield have scored three in their last six and Swansea one in their last three, with neither taking on the most attacking opponents on Saturday.

Reading have had more red cards than shots on goal under Paul Clement, while Charlton and Scunthorpe are both going through sticky patches.

Grimsby and Barnet are comfortably the two lowest scorers in League Two having scored 23 goals in their last 40 matches combined.


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