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Here are Adam Drury's football betting tips for QPR v Watford on Friday night.


First-half correct score: 0-0

QPR haven’t scored more than one first-half goal in 12 of their last 13 matches at Loftus Road, failing to find the net in six of them, so will struggle to make early inroads against a Premier League defence.

Javi Gracia has made sweeping changes for Watford’s domestic cup matches this season, but his makeshift defence has only conceded against Tottenham while down to 10 men during the last 10 minutes of the match.

The Hornets only managed one first-half goal at Woking in the third round, and were level at 0-0 after 45 minutes in a drab game at Newcastle in the one after that.

Massimo Luongo to be carded

Luongo has been booked seven times for club and country this season, with his stats suggesting there are several more to come.

The Australian ranks top for fouls per game in the entire Championship, and also sits top for tackles in the QPR squad.

In a game in where he’s likely to see less possession than he is accustomed to, those traits should come to the fore.

Nathaniel Chalobah to be carded

Chalobah is still to regain full fitness since the serious knee injury he picked up last season, and it shows in his disciplinary record.

The England international – who is likely to be given a rare start here – has been carded in two of the four matches he has started since the beginning of November, with one of the exceptions at Woking.

Over 3.5 cards

There is no obvious angle to pursue on the result of this match, so continuing down the cards route to bump the up the odds makes most sense.

QPR picked up six bookings at Bristol City on Tuesday evening, and have collected at least two in six of their last 10 matches at Loftus Road.

Other than the game at Woking, Watford have picked up at least three cards in four of their last five away matches, including three at Newcastle in the last round.

The fact that Jose Holebas – who has been carded more than any other Premier League player this season – could feature here after being banned for the next two league matches helps us out, as does the fact that referee Michael Oliver has issued four or more cards in four of his last six games.


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