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Here are Jack Green's football tips for Napoli v Arsenal on Thursday evening.

Napoli to win

Arsenal finally won an away game against Watford on Monday night, but that performance with a man advantage wasn’t particularly convincing, and it’s hard to see them avoiding defeat in Italy.

Napoli have lost just once at home all season – to Juventus in March – and have won five of their six European games at the Stadio San Paolo.

Lorenzo Insigne to score

Insigne missed a great chance in the first leg of this tie but looks a good bet to get on the scoresheet this time around.

The Italian has netted 13 goals in all competitions this season – including four in Europe – and has averaged 4.4 shots per game, the most of any Napoli player.

Kalidou Koulibaly to be carded

Koulibaly has the worst disciplinary record of any Napoli player this season, with 11 yellows and a red in all competitions.

The centre-back has committed at least two fouls in each of his last three matches, and looks a good bet to be carded against an Arsenal side that like to scrap more than you might think.

Sokratis to be carded

Sokratis leads all Arsenal players with 11 bookings this season, and was also sent off against Rennes in the previous round of this competition.

The Greek defender has been shown a card in four of his last seven appearances for the Gunners.

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