Moussa Dembele (Lyon) to score v Montpellier (13:30)
Dembele has scored braces in his last two Ligue 1 matches, so he has to be backed to net again even at a price as short as this.
The Frenchman has netted 16 goals so far in his debut Ligue 1 season. He ranks 11th for shots, fifth for shots inside the penalty area and fourth to PSG’s famed front three for xG per match in the division.
Montpellier have kept just two clean sheets in their last 10 away games, shipping 12 goals in their last four outings overall.
Felipe Caicedo (Lazio) to score v Parma (14:00)
Caicedo is sure to start for Lazio in the absence of Ciro Immobile, and he looks a likely goalscorer against a poor Parma side.
The striker has scored three goals in his last five starts and ranks seventh for xG per minute of Serie A players with 10+ appearances this season.
Parma rank third-bottom for xG against away from home, so a run of conceding at least twice in three consecutive away games is unlikely to stop here.
Rodrigo Moreno (Valencia) to score v Getafe (17:30)
Rodrigo continues to be underrated in the goalscorer markets, which makes him a cracking bet to net against Getafe on Sunday.
The forward has scored in five of his last six home appearances, plundering a brace in one and a hat-trick in another. He ranks sixth for shots per game and 10th for xG per minute of players with 10+ La Liga appearances.
He scored a hat-trick in this fixture in the Copa Del Rey side, and Getafe – who have kept just two clean sheets in 17 away games this season – could be punished by him again.
Gerard Moreno (Villarreal) to score v Rayo Vallecano (17:30)
Rodrigo’s namesake Gerard is also a nice bet to score on Sunday, after netting in two of his last three Villarreal starts.
The Spaniard has scored nine goals overall this season, ranking inside the top 20 for both shots and shots inside the penalty area.
Rayo Vallecano have conceded at least twice in three consecutive away games, so are sure to give up plenty of opportunities here.
*Odds subject to change.
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