Jack Green's football tips for Sunday's game at the Opel Arena include the result, total goals and a familiar Leipzig goalscorer.
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Leipzig to win
Leipzig only mustered a draw against Freiburg last weekend but should bounce back to beat Mainz, who looked poor before rescuing a point against Cologne.
Mainz are 15th in the Bundesliga having won just two of their last 10 matches, and home advantage likely won’t be a factor on Sunday given that just one home side won in all of last weekend’s behind-closed-doors matches.
Over 3.5 goals
Leipzig won 8-0 when these sides met earlier in the season, so they could comfortably surpass this mark on their own.
Mainz have let in 55 goals in 26 matches this term, the second-most in the league, but have also scored 36, which is a decent tally given that they sit just above the relegation zone.
Timo Werner to outscore Mainz
Werner has a phenomenal record against Mainz. He’s scored 10 goals in his last seven meetings with them, including a hat-trick in that 8-0 win in November.
The Germany international wasn’t at his best last weekend, but he is the Bundesliga’s second-highest scorer with 21 goals this term.
A goal to be scored between 76-90 minutes
Leipzig are the Bundesliga’s most prolific side in the last 15 minutes of matches, with 19 goals this season so far.
Mainz have conceded 18 goals after the 75th minute – also the most in the Bundesliga – and have scored 10 goals as well during this time slot.
Over 9.5 total corners
There have been an average of 11.1 corners in Mainz’s matches this season, the fourth-most in the Bundesliga.
Their last four games have seen an average of 13 corners, with over 9.5 landing in three of those matches.
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