{"id":121269,"date":"2026-11-09T17:03:56","date_gmt":"2026-11-09T17:03:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=121269"},"modified":"2026-11-09T17:17:30","modified_gmt":"2026-11-09T17:17:30","slug":"bills-vs-vikings-picks-and-predictions-nfl-week-9-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/football\/nfl\/bills-vs-vikings-picks-and-predictions-nfl-week-9-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs Vikings Picks &amp; Predictions | NFL Week 9 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":120387,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[765],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-121269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"acf":{"brief_description":"Our Bills vs Vikings betting picks for NFL Week 9 2026 include odds analysis, best bets, key matchups and picks for your same-game parlay","auto_update_sportal365":true,"property_type":["","run_ads","","","",""],"main_image":120388,"authors":false,"custom_author":"Mark Keast","type":"news","properties":{"ads_enabled":true,"adult_content":false,"important":false,"live":false},"live_url":"","type_of_redirect":"permanent","body":[{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>So I woke this morning to find that the Jacksonville Jaguars have traded for safety Jessie Bates III from the Atlanta Falcons, who had been rumoured to be a Buffalo Bills trade target. The Jags gave up a second-round draft pick in 2027 and a fifth in 2028. That\u2019s it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Let\u2019s face it \u2013 this is the year for the Bills to take a serious run at a Super Bowl, as Josh Allen\u2019s prime window closes. They\u2019ve danced around it for a decade but haven\u2019t gotten it done.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bates III is a former Pro Bowler, one of the best secondary guys available. And the Bills need help on defence if they\u2019re going to make a run this season \u2013 23rd in the NFL in yards allowed (352.1 yards per game), third worst in pass defence (254.7 yards per game), and 24th in points allowed (25.9 per game).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">General manager Brandon Beane is under pressure to make trades before tomorrow\u2019s NFL trade deadline. After the Patriots fell to the Packers yesterday, the injury to Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson, and doubts about Bo Nix and the Broncos, it feels like the Bills might never get another opportunity like this. It\u2019s time to go all in.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">That brings us to tonight, as the 6-1 Bills travel to U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis to take on the Vikings (6-1).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Allen and the Bills offence line up against the toughest team to score against in the NFL. Interesting statistic on ESPN this morning \u2013 tonight will be the first time since 2013 that a team averaging 33 or more points per game will play a team allowing 14 or fewer points in Week 9 or later.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">That\u2019s the key matchup tonight, and it stands out from all the rest. The Vikings blitz a lot, but they are up against a 6-foot-5, 237-pound, fleet-of-foot quarterback with instinct and speed to sidestep a rush, break a tackle or two and turn that into a momentum-changing first down, better than any QB in the NFL.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">On the injury front, quarterback Kyler Murray is out, replaced by Carson Wentz, with rumours out there that the Vikings will trade for QB help (Daniel Jones?). RB Demond Claiborne (knee) and Jauan Jennings (calf) are also out, and S Jay Ward (undisclosed) and S Theo Jackson (quadriceps) are questionable.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Bills are getting healthier \u2013 just OT Alec Anderson (ankle), OT Dion Dawkins (ribs) are listed as questionable tonight, with CB Jordan Hancock (hamstring), WR Joshua Palmer (hamstring) and WR Tyrell Shavers (knee) out.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">I\u2019ve also got my eye on Bills running back James Cook versus that Vikings\u2019 defensive front. Cook is fifth in the NFL with 707 rushing yards. According to ESPN, Allen and Cook have scored a touchdown in the same game 16 times, the most in NFL history.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"pen-black\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Here are my Bills vs Vikings picks.<\/span><\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Bills vs Vikings Odds<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>In <a target=\"_blank\" class=\"editor-link\" href=\"https:\/\/betway.com\/g\/en-ca\/sports\/grp\/american-football\/usa\/nfl\"><u>NFL betting<\/u><\/a> at Betway, the Bills are -175 moneyline favourites, while the Vikings are listed at +145. Buffalo is favoured by 3.5 points (+100), with Minnesota at +3.5 (-120). The total is set at 44.5, with the Over and Under priced at -110.<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Bills vs Vikings Betting Trends<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>According to NBC Sports, the Bills have been strong against the spread \u2013 5-2 ATS this season, winning all three road games, scoring at least 33 points in each. Buffalo is 3-0 to the Over on the road.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">On the Vikings\u2019 side, six of their seven games have finished Under the posted total. What a conundrum if you\u2019re betting the total tonight.<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Bills vs Vikings Betting Picks<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>Look, the Vikings\u2019 defence has allowed just 154.9 passing yards per game. Allen has 9 rushing touchdowns, second only to Bears running back De\u2019Andre Swift.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">This is a challenging one to bet. One of my focuses is on Bills kicker Tyler Bass \u2013 21 straight field goals made, a franchise record, including seven in a row from 50+ yards. Advantage Bills there.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">So, in my <a target=\"_self\" class=\"editor-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/football\/nfl\/\">NFL picks<\/a>, I like the Over 44.5 points. Both teams, especially the Bills, can move the ball. Buffalo leads the NFL in offensive EPA (expected points added per play), suggesting a more efficient offence.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Bills\u2019 porous defence will give Wentz more opportunities to move the ball. There\u2019s value here, I think.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Best player prop is Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson 80+ receiving yards at -110. Jefferson will be the focal point of the Vikings\u2019 attack, and 70+ feels pricey at -160. When Wentz started against Green Bay earlier this season, Jefferson caught eight passes for 92 yards and two TDs. Bills\u2019 vulnerable pass defence makes this a solid pick.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">I also like Ty Johnson receiving out of the Bills\u2019 backfield, since Allen will be scrambling a lot, and Johnson could benefit from checkdowns and screens. So, I am going Over 2.5 receptions at +140 at Betway. I&#8217;m leaning over rather than paying heavy juice on the under. He has three or more catches in three of his last five, and the Vikings\u2019 ability to pressure Allen and get him running makes this appealing.<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Bills vs Vikings Same Game Parlay Picks<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>I am a little trepidatious recommending this, given Buffalo\u2019s offensive line injuries, but Allen 200+ passing yards, Jefferson 80+ receiving yards and Allen 30+ rushing yards, if I keep the stake modest. I am confident, though, in running this ticket at +375, given Minnesota\u2019s pressure-heavy defence.<\/p>\n"}],"related_content":[{"ID":121256,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-11-08 16:32:11","post_date_gmt":"2026-11-08 16:32:11","post_content":"","post_title":"Bears vs Buccaneers Picks &amp; Predictions | NFL Week 9 2026","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"bears-vs-buccaneers-picks-and-predictions-nfl-week-9-2026","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-11-08 16:33:50","post_modified_gmt":"2026-11-08 16:33:50","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=121256","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":121253,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-11-08 14:00:50","post_date_gmt":"2026-11-08 14:00:50","post_content":"","post_title":"NFL Week 9 Player Prop Picks | Sunday NFL Picks","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"nfl-week-9-player-prop-picks-sunday-nfl-picks","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-11-08 14:08:06","post_modified_gmt":"2026-11-08 14:08:06","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=121253","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":121249,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-11-07 16:48:47","post_date_gmt":"2026-11-07 16:48:47","post_content":"","post_title":"NFL Week 9 TD Scorer Picks | Sunday NFL Picks","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"nfl-week-9-td-scorer-picks-sunday-nfl-picks","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-11-07 16:52:36","post_modified_gmt":"2026-11-07 16:52:36","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=121249","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121269"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121269\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121270,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121269\/revisions\/121270"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}