MLB betting<\/u><\/a> at Betway, the Brewers are -190 moneyline favourites, the Rays are +160, the Brewers are -1.5 (+115), the Rays are +1.5 (-150), and the total is 6.5 (Over is -110, Under is +110).<\/p>\nThat has made the Under +110 a more interesting option. That\u2019s my major takeaway.<\/p>\n
Several developments stand out other than that. Milwaukee\u2019s moneyline moved from -160 to -190, making the Brewers a much more expensive favourite.<\/p>\n
The Brewers run line -1.5 has shortened from +135 to +115, so bettors get a smaller payout for backing Milwaukee to win by multiple runs.<\/p>\n
Game 1 is tomorrow night at 8 p.m. EST on Fox at American Family Field in Milwaukee.<\/p>\n
The big news for bettors today was the Rays\u2019 decision to change their Game 1 starter. Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA, 109 Ks, and a 1.09 WHIP) starts for Tampa. Martinez has started two games during this year\u2019s playoffs, with six strikeouts, and he hasn\u2019t given up a home run. The Rays elected to give ace Drew Rasmussen some more rest. Martinez, the 36-year-old right-hander, is with his fourth major league team.<\/p>\n
Jacob Misiorowski goes for the Brewers, with his 104 mph fastball. According to ESPN, he threw 1,115 pitches at 100 mph or higher this year. That was a record. Misiorowski went 16-5 with a 1.80 ERA, 252 Ks (the league lead), and a 0.80 WHIP. He\u2019s had two playoff starts so far, with 11 strikeouts.<\/p>\n
Best bets begin and end with Milwaukee moneyline for Game 1, at -190. Beyond the stud starter, the Brewers have an elite bullpen that has posted a 1.33 ERA this postseason (7-1). Bumping back Rasmussen is another reason for the pick. Not the best value, I know. But the likely winner.<\/p>\n
That Brewers\u2019 runline at plus money is enticing, but Tampa\u2019s strong bullpen makes a two-run win far from guaranteed.<\/p>\n
The Under 6.5 runs at +110 is also enticing, though riskier since Rasmussen isn\u2019t pitching, but the Brewers\u2019 bullpen helps makes this my best bet, and Misiorowski can dominate. I\u2019m taking the Under.<\/p>\n
I like Misiorowski Under 15.5 outs recorded at -115. He hasn\u2019t completed five innings in either of his two postseason starts, throwing 88 and 94 pitches in those outings, and I can see why Milwaukee would manage his workload carefully. Plus, again, that bullpen means they don\u2019t have to push him deeper into games.<\/p>\n
Milwaukee won two of the three regular-season meetings with Tampa Bay. The Rays have won 24 of Martinez\u2019s 33 starts this season, including the playoffs.<\/p>\n"}],"related_content":[{"ID":120848,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-10-12 17:43:48","post_date_gmt":"2026-10-12 16:43:48","post_content":"","post_title":"MLB Picks: Rays vs. Guardians ALCS Game 1 Best Bets, Run Line and Home Run Props","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"mlb-picks-rays-vs-guardians-alcs-game-1-best-bets-run-line-and-home-run-props","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-10-12 17:51:02","post_modified_gmt":"2026-10-12 16:51:02","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120848","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":120674,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-09-30 22:38:26","post_date_gmt":"2026-09-30 21:38:26","post_content":"","post_title":"MLB Picks: Padres Favoured to Finish Off Cubs as Gausman Faces Health Questions","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"mlb-picks-padres-favoured-to-finish-off-cubs-as-gausman-faces-health-questions","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-09-30 22:38:54","post_modified_gmt":"2026-09-30 21:38:54","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120674","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":120657,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-09-29 20:48:22","post_date_gmt":"2026-09-29 19:48:22","post_content":"","post_title":"MLB Bets: Red Sox Offer Wild-Card Value Against Yankees","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"mlb-bets-red-sox-offer-wild-card-value-against-yankees","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-09-29 20:48:36","post_modified_gmt":"2026-09-29 19:48:36","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120657","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121022"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121022\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121023,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121022\/revisions\/121023"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116305"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}