{"id":120471,"date":"2026-09-14T15:37:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T14:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120471"},"modified":"2026-09-14T15:52:26","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T14:52:26","slug":"broncos-vs-chiefs-picks-and-predictions-nfl-week-1-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/football\/nfl\/broncos-vs-chiefs-picks-and-predictions-nfl-week-1-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Broncos vs Chiefs Picks &amp; Predictions | NFL Week 1 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":120387,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[765],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"acf":{"brief_description":"Our Broncos vs Chiefs betting picks for NFL Week 1 2026 include odds analysis, best bets, key matchups and picks for your same game parlay","auto_update_sportal365":true,"property_type":["","run_ads","","","",""],"main_image":120388,"authors":false,"custom_author":"Mark Keast","type":"news","properties":{"ads_enabled":true,"adult_content":false,"important":false,"live":false},"live_url":"","type_of_redirect":"permanent","body":[{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>A few things that came out of yesterday\u2019s full slate of NFL games, that caught my eye, and will no doubt catch the attention of bettors.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Chicago Bears under Caleb Williams look terrifying offensively, after their 59-37 blowout win over the Carolina Panthers. Six rushing touchdowns, 552 total yards, 291 rushing yards \u2013 sportsbooks may have underestimated how good Chicago\u2019s offence would be, and yesterday\u2019s game could force them to adjust their numbers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The New York Giants under John Harbaugh might be better than we all thought. Their 28-20 win over the Dallas Cowboys last night was no fluke. Jaxson Dart was excellent \u2013 23-of-29, 230 yards passing, three TDs, no interceptions.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then I\u2019m looking at the warning shots on the NFC front \u2013 they are worried in Green Bay, for example, following Minnesota\u2019s 39-22 comeback win over the Packers. That was after Carson Wentz replaced Kyler Murray at quarterback. Murray left with a concussion. Wentz threw three touchdown passes.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tonight\u2019s Monday Night Football Game features the Denver Broncos in Kansas City to take on the Chiefs, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The biggest storyline is Patrick Mahomes\u2019 health. The Chiefs\u2019 quarterback is making his first start since tearing his ACL and LCL in his left knee nine months ago.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">He didn\u2019t play in the preseason, and the Broncos had 68 sacks last year, leading the NFL. Chiefs left tackle Josh Simmons is out with a back injury, which couldn\u2019t have come at a worse time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Mahomes\u2019 mobility issues are the biggest storyline bettors will focus on tonight.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Over on the Denver side, quarterback Bo Nix is also returning from an injury, while the team has surrounded him with some new tools at the receiver position, led by Jaylen Waddle, whose speed downfield could open up one-on-one opportunities for the other receivers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then there\u2019s the debut of Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III, up against the Denver defensive front, since the Chiefs will have more incentive to run the ball with Mahomes\u2019 situation. How Walker factors into first-down plays will be key \u2013 if Denver can create second-and-nine and third-and-seven situations, that could tilt the game in their direction.<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Broncos vs Chiefs Odds<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>In <a target=\"_blank\" class=\"editor-link\" href=\"https:\/\/betway.com\/g\/en\/sports\/grp\/american-football\/usa\/nfl\"><u>NFL betting<\/u><\/a> at Betway, the Chiefs are -130 moneyline favourites, with the Broncos +110. Kansas City is a 2.5-point favourite at -110), while Denver is +2.5 at -110. The total is 43.5 points, with the over at -105 and the under at -115.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Chiefs, coming off a 6-11 season, are at home at Arrowhead, yet they\u2019re only laying 2.5 points. The market isn\u2019t treating the new Chiefs like the old Chiefs.<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Broncos vs Chiefs Betting Trends<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>Last season, Denver swept Kansas City, and both games went under, so that\u2019s a popular lean.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Denver also proved it could win at Arrowhead with a 20-13 win on Christmas Day. The Broncos went 14-3 last season and won their final four regular-season road games.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Chiefs went just 5-4 at Arrowhead last season, including losing their final three home games.<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Broncos vs Chiefs Betting Picks<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>I\u2019m going to take the Broncos at +110, since Denver bettors aren\u2019t getting the protection of +3. I like Denver to win outright because of the unknown factor with Mahomes versus paying -110 for only 2.5 points of protection. This is about as competitive a game as you would find on the schedule going into Week 1.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">I also don\u2019t know what the Chiefs have in Travis Kelce, to be honest. He\u2019s 36 now, and will likely be a big factor tonight with a quick\/intermediate passing game taking more of a priority with Mahomes\u2019 condition. Can Denver make him less of a factor on third down or in the red zone without devoting excessive resources?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Denver\u2019s defence should make it difficult for a Chiefs offence that struggled last year and is starting an undrafted rookie (Khalil Benson) in Simmons\u2019 place. I\u2019ll take the plus money on the Denver moneyline.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The under 43.5 at -115 also has appeal. Both defences ranked among the better units last season. Mahomes will no doubt be carefully managed by Andy Reid and his coaching staff. So like I said, fewer deep shots, minimize the runs, shorter\/quicker pass game, reliance on Walker.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"pen-black\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">Also, with my <\/span><a target=\"_blank\" class=\"editor-link\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/football\/nfl\/\"><span class=\"pen-black\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\"><u>NFL picks<\/u><\/span><\/a><span class=\"pen-black\" style=\"color: rgb(0, 0, 0);\">, I\u2019m taking Mahomes under 224.5 passing yards (-115). Kansas City will lean on the run, and get the ball out quickly against the Denver pass rush. There just is no incentive to have Mahomes hurling it all over the field, scrambling about, in his first game back from such a serious knee injury.<\/span><\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<h2>Broncos vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks<\/h2>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>How\u2019s about Broncos team total over 20.5, Chiefs team total under 22.5, and first quarter under 7.5? The opening quarter stays quiet, the Chiefs don\u2019t blow the lid off anything, and Denver gets enough points to stay in it (+550).<\/p>\n"}],"related_content":[{"ID":120460,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-09-13 02:17:42","post_date_gmt":"2026-09-13 01:17:42","post_content":"","post_title":"Cowboys vs Giants Picks &amp; Predictions | NFL Week 1 2026","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"cowboys-vs-giants-picks-and-predictions-nfl-week-1-2026","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-09-13 02:30:51","post_modified_gmt":"2026-09-13 01:30:51","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120460","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":120458,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-09-12 13:56:20","post_date_gmt":"2026-09-12 12:56:20","post_content":"","post_title":"NFL Week TD Scorer Picks | Sunday NFL Picks","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"nfl-week-td-scorer-picks-sunday-nfl-picks","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-09-12 13:59:18","post_modified_gmt":"2026-09-12 12:59:18","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120458","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":120433,"post_author":"0","post_date":"2026-09-10 14:03:04","post_date_gmt":"2026-09-10 13:03:04","post_content":"","post_title":"NFL Week 1 Picks Against the Spread | Sunday NFL Picks","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","post_password":"","post_name":"nfl-week-1-picks-against-the-spread-sunday-nfl-picks","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2026-09-10 14:30:05","post_modified_gmt":"2026-09-10 13:30:05","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=120433","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120471"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120471\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120472,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120471\/revisions\/120472"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/120387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}