at Betway, Dern is the favourite at -188, and Robertson is +150. In the other title bout, Makhachev is the big favourite at -334, and Garry is at +250.<\/strong><\/p>\nIt\u2019s Robertson\u2019s first five-round fight.<\/p>\n
\u201cI feel so at home in those five rounds,\u201d she told Sportsnet. \u201cThis is a chance to get myself recognized. To be Canada\u2019s first woman champ would be a huge point for me. Once we get into later rounds, it will be rough for her.\u201d<\/p>\n
Robertson\u2019s biggest strengths are when the fight hits the mat – grappling, top control and submission threats. She averages 2.76 takedowns per 15 minutes. Recent wins over Marina Rodriguez and Polyana Viana came via ground-and-pound TKO.<\/p>\n
Brazilian jiu-jitsu is Dern\u2019s greatest strength, so Robertson might not have the advantage if the fight goes to the mat.<\/p>\n
I think the fight goes the distance, so I\u2019m going to take that at Betway (-151).<\/p>\n
Two superior grapplers, neutralizing each other\u2019s submission threat. Robertson has a five-win streak, and she\u2019s gone the distance every time. Dern is comfortable going into the late rounds as well.<\/p>\n
MMA Mania is predicting a Dern win by decision, and that makes a lot of sense if you figure that Dern will win more of the striking exchanges. Dern to win by decision is +150 (Robertson is +275).<\/p>\n
Stay away from markets where Robertson wins by submission (+1200), despite her nine career submission victories. Dern is a decorated Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist.<\/p>\n
Robertson is seeing some love on the betting markets \u2013 I saw her leading the way, up there with Makhachev, in handle to win.<\/p>\n
In the other main card fights tonight (main card gets going at 9 p.m. EST), Jalin Turner takes on Kaue Fernandes in a lightweight bout. Turner is -120, Fernandes -105.<\/p>\n
Masur Abdul-Malik takes on Dustin Stoltzfus in a middleweight fight. Malik is the big favorite there (-650), and Stoltzfus at +450.<\/p>\n
Edson Barboza takes on Esteban Ribovics in a lightweight bout, with Ribovics at -650 and Barboza at +450.<\/p>\n
I am also leaning Makhachev by submission +120. A method prop is much cleaner than that heavy moneyline price. The Russian is an elite wrestler, with top control and a submission threat that overwhelms most of the fighters he faces. Garry is 17-1-0 and is a lengthy striker with good fight IQ, with a couple of recent fight wins, but most of the expert consensus is leaning Makhachev.<\/p>\n
Also, check out Under 1.5 rounds (+105 at Betway) for the heavily favoured Ribovics fight, since both men can finish fights quickly. Ribovics prefers early-round aggression. You might want to avoid a bathroom break at the start of this one, or you might miss out how it ends.<\/p>\n"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120015"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120015\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120016,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120015\/revisions\/120016"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117939"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}