I\u2019m going to take Phillies -1.5 (+110)<\/strong>, since I am comfortable they bounce back and win today after last night\u2019s loss, and I don\u2019t have to lay down -170.<\/p>\nThe Phillies are the better overall team, and they\u2019re at home, where they are 31-29. Scherzer\u2019s ERA makes laying 1.5 runs way more palatable.<\/p>\n
The other factor bettors should be aware of \u2013 the Jays, scrapping to try and make that wild-card spot, went through six pitchers last night. That\u2019s a huge factor in Phillies\u2019 favour if Scherzer can\u2019t get beyond three-four innings.<\/p>\n
Plus, Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber looked silly in his two strikeouts, going 1-4. I don\u2019t see a repeat performance out of him tonight. Schwarber is tied for the MLB lead in home runs with 33. Schwarber is +200 at Betway to hit a home run tonight.<\/strong><\/p>\nNola is more volatile than he was during his prime, and has surrendered 28 homers this season, and his 7.7% walk rate is his highest since 2020. Good for him that the Blue Jays are last in MLB in offence (runs scored).<\/p>\n
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is still listed as out with a hamstring issue. No word as of 1:10 p.m. EST whether he will be playing. A late lineup confirmation can shift value, so stay close to your phone today for updates on him.<\/p>\n
Scherzer has struggled with injury issues all year and has been homer- and walk-prone, so go with the Over 9.5. (-110) if you are betting.<\/strong><\/p>\nYou\u2019re staring at a game of flawed starters.<\/p>\n
For player props, I am looking at Blue Jays catcher Alejandro Kirk, who\u2019s been hot at the plate of late (.348 over his last seven games, with eight hits, six RBIs and one HR). Nola is susceptible to giving up the long ball, and Betway has Kirk at +450 to hit a home run. Sprinkle a little money on this one.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119870","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119870"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119870\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":119871,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119870\/revisions\/119871"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119870"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119870"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119870"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}