{"id":119864,"date":"2026-08-07T15:45:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T14:45:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/?p=119864"},"modified":"2026-08-07T15:51:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T14:51:04","slug":"mlb-picks-can-blue-jays-keep-phillies-close-behind-jose-soriano","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/baseball\/mlb\/mlb-picks-can-blue-jays-keep-phillies-close-behind-jose-soriano\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB Picks: Can Blue Jays Keep Phillies Close Behind Jos\u00e9 Soriano?"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":117432,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[779],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119864","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb"],"acf":{"brief_description":"Toronto leans on Jos\u00e9 Soriano against Zack Wheeler, while bettors weigh the under, Toronto's run line and Louis Varland's recent struggles","auto_update_sportal365":true,"property_type":["","run_ads","","","",""],"main_image":117433,"main_image_description":"Friday MLB betting picks from Betway","authors":false,"custom_author":"Mark Keast","type":"news","properties":{"ads_enabled":true,"adult_content":false,"important":false,"live":false},"live_url":"","type_of_redirect":"permanent","body":[{"acf_fc_layout":"editor_block","content":"<p>A big area of concern as the Toronto Blue Jays head to Philadelphia tonight to play the Phillies in the first game of a three-game series is the leaks in closer Louis Varland\u2019s game.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Varland\u2019s been nails since taking over from Jeff Hoffman as the team\u2019s closer a month into the season. The statistics bear that out \u2013 24 saves (tied for 8th in MLB), a 1.38 ERA, 74 strikeouts, a 1.02 WHIP.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Varland has hit a rough patch the past week, though, and that\u2019s something bettors need to keep in mind. Aug. 2 against the St. Louis Cardinals, he entered a 1-1 game in the ninth and allowed four runs (not all earned), leading to a 5-1 loss.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Then yesterday against the Chicago Cubs was an absolute killer for a Jays\u2019 team holding on by their teeth, chasing down the final American League wild-card spot. With the Jays up 2-0, after grinding to be in that position, and with two outs in the ninth inning, Varland gave up a devastating two-home-run home run to Alex Bregman to tie the game. The Cubs would win 3-2 in extra innings.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">It is likely fatigue. But it\u2019s giving bettors another angle to consider if tonight\u2019s game is close late in the game. Toronto\u2019s bullpen has been a strength in what has been a challenging season.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">The Blue Jays sit 3.5 games out of the wild card this morning, with 46 games left to play.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Tonight\u2019s game is 6:45 p.m. EST at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia (62-54), with Toronto (54-62) rolling out starting pitcher Jose Soriano (9-6, 3.37 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 127 SOs) acquired at the Aug. 3 trade deadline in a deal with the Los Angeles Angels. The Phillies counter tonight with Zack Wheeler (10-2, 2.49 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 126 SOs).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>In <\/strong><a target=\"_blank\" class=\"editor-link\" href=\"https:\/\/betway.com\/g\/en\/sports\/grp\/baseball\/usa\/mlb\"><u><strong>MLB betting<\/strong><\/u><\/a><strong> at Betway, the Phillies are -225 Moneyline favourites, while the Blue Jays are +185 underdogs. The run line has Toronto at +1.5 (-115) and Philadelphia at -1.5 (-105). The total is set at 7.5 runs, with the Over priced at -115 and the Under at -105.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Toronto is 26-31 on the road, and Philadelphia is 31-28 at home. The Phillies have hit 145 total home runs to rank eighth in MLB.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bryce Harper has 22 doubles, three triples and 24 homers for the Phillies. Kazuma Okamoto has 15 doubles, 24 HRs and 70 RBIs for the Jays.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">In the Jays\u2019 favour is their strong play of late \u2013 6-4 in their past ten games, while Philly is 5-5. Toronto has a MASH clinic of injuries, but the ones to monitor over the day are updates on Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has sat out the past two games with a hamstring issue, and Luis Urias, day-to-day with an undisclosed injury.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Derek Hill (shoulder) and Andrew Painter (hamstring) are day-to-day for the Phillies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Bettors must decide whether Soriano can neutralize enough of Philadelphia&#8217;s lineup to keep the total under 7.5 runs while giving the Blue Jays a chance to cover the +1.5-run line.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">That\u2019s where I am leaning tonight.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">Wheeler is a Cy Young Award candidate, so that Under 7.5 looks even more enticing and gives them a big advantage. I am taking his plus-money 7+ strikeout prop (+130). He regularly works deep into games and has elite swing-and-miss stuff.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">I think Philly comes out and scores first (-125 at Betway) and wins the game, but it will be tight. Take that Jays\u2019 +1.5 run line at -115. That and the Under 7.5 (-115) for me, today. Soriano gives the Jays a good chance to keep the Phillies offence in check.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: start;\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119864","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119864"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119864\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":119865,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119864\/revisions\/119865"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}