At Betway, the Red Sox are slight Moneyline favourites at -125, with the Blue Jays at +105. Toronto is getting 1.5 runs on the Runline (-190), while Boston is +140 to cover -1.5. The Total is set at 8.5 runs (Over -120, Under +100), suggesting oddsmakers expect a relatively high-scoring game.<\/strong><\/p>\nThis isn\u2019t viewed as a mismatch, a tip of the cap to Yesavage. The Blue Jays are going to need 2025 playoff Yesavage. Then you had yesterday\u2019s stellar Shane Bieber performance in the Jays\u2019 3-1 win over the Rays in Toronto \u2013 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 K, 0 BB. That\u2019s two A+ starts in a row now for Bieber.<\/p>\n
There\u2019s Max Scherzer pitching well in his last Buffalo Bison rehab start.<\/p>\n
The spotlight has been on trading Kevin Gausman, with media stories on updated no-trade lists, but if they could get to Gausman and turn his season around, the \u201cBlue Jays sell-off\u201d narrative making its way around might go in the other direction.<\/p>\n
They instead acquire offence at the trade deadline \u2013 Francisco Lindor, anyone? Look, the Red Sox were dead in the water, then won six in a row coming out of the All-Star Game break, on top of nine games in a row before the break, before finally losing to the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday.<\/p>\n
I\u2019m not saying that\u2019s a likely scenario for the Jays. I am saying there\u2019s always a chance; the bones of that World Series team are still in place, the organization doesn\u2019t need to sell off for payroll savings purposes, and they might say, to hell with it, let\u2019s stay the course.<\/p>\n
If you\u2019re Ross Atkins, why trade players who took you to a World Series last fall for middling prospects?<\/p>\n
The players are certainly going to want to see the organization stay the course.<\/p>\n
That\u2019s why I am putting my marbles down tonight on a strong Yesavage performance. Boston is only a modest favourite, with the market expecting a competitive game. The Total of 8.5 with the Over at -120 suggests bettors are leaning the Over, interesting with a quality Jays\u2019 starter on the mound and the state of the Blue Jays offence of late (19th in MLB is team batting average, dead last in team RBIs, at 388, fourth last in HRs at 102).<\/p>\n
I am going to go Blue Jays\u2019 Runline, since I like the value there. I think there\u2019s a very good chance the Blue Jays win outright tonight, but I\u2019ll take the 1.5-run cushion as insurance. I am paying some juice there, but I\u2019ll take the protection against a one-run loss.<\/p>\n
George Springer is bouncing back on the hitting front. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has lost me money all summer, so I\u2019m staying away from him on the player prop side.<\/p>\n
I am going to take a Springer prop: Total Hits + Runs + RBIs at Betway (-125), since he usually finds multiple ways to contribute.<\/p>\n
I also like Yesavage\u2019s strikeout props: Five or more strikeouts is priced at -210, while seven or more is +200, if you\u2019re looking for plus money.<\/p>\n"}]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119675","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119675"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119675\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":119676,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119675\/revisions\/119676"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.betway.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}