Boxing tips: Our 13/8 pick for Wilder v Fury II
Jack Green is backing the Gypsy King in his boxing tips for Saturday night's WBC heavyweight title rematch in Las Vegas.
Not much has changed since Deontay Wilder and Tyson Fury fought to a draw in December 2018.
The Bronze Bomber is still the most dangerous puncher in the sport but lacks the boxing ability to dominate a world-class fighter.
The Gypsy King is still an exceptional, intelligent boxer but doubts remain over his physical condition and one-punch power.
Like the first bout, then, this is a 50-50 fight – a classic boxer-versus-puncher match-up that looks very tough to call.
Fury deserved to win the first meeting and would have done so had Wilder not won the final round 10-8.
Aside from a glancing blow that put him down in the ninth, Fury was in full control for the first 11 rounds and made Wilder look silly on several occasions.
In terms of pure boxing, there was a huge gulf in class between the pair back then, and Wilder’s fight against Luis Ortiz in November suggests he hasn’t closed it.
The American was thoroughly out-boxed by the 40-year-old for six rounds before landing a big right hand in the seventh to earn the win.
Yet again, Wilder’s best and perhaps only chance in this rematch is knocking Fury out cold with one shot.
That he almost did so last time around is proof – to his supporters, at least – that the WBC champion can always find that single punch when he needs it.
If anything, though, it’s Fury who should take confidence from that enormous 12th-round knockdown.
The Gypsy King has proven that he can take Wilder’s best shot. It’s easy to forget that, not only did he climb off the canvas, but he also arguably won the rest of the round.
Fury has said he was looking for the big finish in that fight and that may explain why he was caught with the big shot. This time around he’ll likely be more cautious.
The 31-year-old’s laboured performance in a win over Otto Wallin in September – in which he suffered a huge cut over his right eye – is a concern, but Fury has always been a fighter who rises to the big occasion.
Despite his proclamations that he’ll win by second-round knockout, expect the Englishman to repeat his performance from the first fight, dominating with his jab and staying out range of Wilder’s windmills.
Providing there are no shenanigans from the judges – which is always possible in the US – the Gypsy King should win on points and claim the WBC title.
Fury to win on points
Fight to go the distance and any judge’s scorecard to be a draw
Fury to win by split decision