One team have trailed at half-time in all of their Premier League home games this season, while another seem to have been playing first goal wins.
Arsenal have conceded the third-most shots in the Premier League this season – more than both Watford and Southampton, who are in the relegation zone.
Bernd Leno has also had to make the most saves, so the stats would suggest the Gunners aren’t about to stop shipping goals any time soon.
An opposition central midfielder been carded in eight of the last nine games that Jack Grealish has started, including red cards for Aaron Mooy and Fernandinho in the last two.
Grealish is comfortably the most-fouled player in the league, so it’s worth backing a midfield opponent to be booked whenever he plays.
Seven of Bournemouth’s matches have featured at least one goal in the opening 15 minutes, a record that is only equalled by Watford.
The Cherries have scored four goals of their own during that period, which is the most in the league.
Neal Maupay ranks in the top 10 for both shots and shots inside the box in the Premier League.
That makes the Frenchman a wise bet to score in most matches.
Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes rank second and ninth for non-penalty xG in the Premier League.
That explains why they are both well on their way to around 15 goals this season.
Jorginho has committed the most fouls per game for Chelsea this season, but still only ranks 45th in the Premier League.
Never assume that Chelsea cards are a given.
Crystal Palace, on the other hand, are dirty so-and-sos, committing more fouls per game than any other Premier League team bar Wolves.
It’s surely only a matter of time until they rise higher than 10th for the most cards.
(This is meant to be one stat per team, but we have to mention that they have taken the fewest shots of all 20 teams as well.)
Only Manchester City have conceded fewer shots per game than Everton.
With a brutal run of games coming up, their ability to keep good teams quiet shouldn’t be underestimated.
Despite leading the top-goalscorer charts, Jamie Vardy ranks 24th for shots per game – fewer than Gerard Deulofeu and Willian.
You have to think that his clinical conversion rate of 39 per cent will slow down some time soon.
Liverpool have received no more than one card in 11 of their last 12 games against non-Big Six teams.
Back under 1.5 cards whenever they play anyone other than the established elite, and you may as well have a punt on under 0.5 as well.
Title race…still on? Man City comfortably lead the way for xPts, xG, shots taken and shots conceded, suggesting that ultimately, they’re still the best team in the country.
Three defeats so far this season doesn’t mean that it’s ever worth backing City to lose.
Manchester United have changed a lot this season.
In their first six games, they ranked 14th for xG from open play and top for xG against. In their last six, they are up to fourth for open-play xG and down to ninth for xG against.
Has Ole channelled the spirit of ’99 just in time?
All other 19 Premier League teams have a player who has had more attempts per game than Newcastle’s best shooter, Miguel Almiron.
Never, ever back a Newcastle anytime goalscorer.
Norwich seem to have been playing first goal wins this season.
Daniel Farke’s side have gone behind in nine of their 13 games and lost them all. They’ve taken the lead in three and won them all. And they drew the other 0-0.
That is all despite the fact that they’ve been involved in two 3-2s, a 4-1 and a 5-1.
Sheffield United have won plenty of admirers for their adventurous approach, but their games haven’t been full of goals.
Over 2.5 goals has only landed in four of the Blades’ 13 matches this season.
Southampton season-ticket-holders have had it tough this season.
The Saints have trailed at half-time in all six of their matches at St Mary’s this term, going on to lose five of them, so backing them to lose the first half could be the way forward.
Jose Mourinho has won his first three home league games in all of his last five jobs, bar at Manchester United, where they were beaten 2-1 by Pep Guardiola’s Man City early on.
He won his first six at Chelsea in 2004, first 14 at Real Madrid in 2010 and first five at Stamford Bridge in 2013, so expect Spurs to go on a good run at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Watford’s 8-0 humiliation by Man City in September prompted a reaction.
Since that game, they rank ninth for xG against, so don’t expect them to concede many in the coming weeks.
West Ham have taken the lead in seven of their 12 games, a record only bettered by Liverpool, Chelsea, Man City, Tottenham, Man Utd and Leicester.
So backing them to score first against any team outside the top six could prove a savvy decision.
Wolves have gone behind in eight of their 13 games, but only lost two of them.
If they concede the first goal of the game, backing them not to lose in-play is usually a solid bet.
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