NBA Finals betting tips: 4 picks for Bucks vs Suns Game 5
Jack Green makes his NBA predictions for Game 5 of the Finals between the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns.
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Phoenix Suns (-4)
The NBA Finals have gone with home court advantage so far, with the Suns taking the first two games in Phoenix before the Bucks levelled the series up by winning both games in Milwaukee.
With the series returning to Phoenix on Saturday night, it’s worth backing the Suns to pull ahead once again and improve upon their impressive 8-2 home record in the playoffs.
The Bucks eked out a 109-103 win in Game 4, with Phoenix managing to keep it close despite Chris Paul enduring arguably his worst performance of the postseason so far.
With Devin Booker rediscovering his shooting stroke and Paul bound to improve upon Thursday’s performance, the Suns look good value to get back to winning ways here.
Over 218 total points
Game 4 was the first of the Finals that didn’t go over 220 points, and there should be plenty of scoring as the series returns to Phoenix.
The last two games of the Suns’ Western Conference Finals series went past the 218 point mark, while the final two games of the Bucks’ Eastern Conference Finals series against the Hawks went over 225 points.
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 33.5 points
Antetokounmpo was unstoppable in Games 2 and 3 before cooling off slightly with a 26-point night in Game 4, but did make a crucial block on DeAndre Ayton and is clearly back to his best after suffering a knee injury in the previous round.
The two-time MVP is averaging 32.3 points per game in this series despite playing limited minutes in Game 1, and he’s surpassed 33 points in eight of his last 13 contests.
Brook Lopez over 10.5 points
Lopez has scored 11 points or more in five of the Bucks’ last six games, so he looks good value to go over this line again on Saturday.
He’s averaged 13.3 points per game in this year’s playoffs and had a 33-point night in Game 5 against the Hawks.
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